The Impact of the 2015/16 Drought on Staple Maize Markets in Southern and Eastern Africa

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May 2, 2017 - Ferdi Meyer, Tracy Davids, Zena Mpenda, Meizal Popat, Orcidia Vilanculos, Brian Chisanga, and Raphael Gitau

Ferdi Meyer, Tracy Davids, Zena Mpenda, Meizal Popat, Orcidia Vilanculos, Brian Chisanga, and Raphael Gitau. May 2017. The impact of the 2015/16 Drought on Staple Maize Markets in Southern and Eastern Africa. Feed the Future Innovation Lab for Food Security Policy Research Brief 38. East Lansing: Michigan State University.

KEY FINDINGS

The impact of the 2015/16 drought on food security in the region has reaffirmed the importance of:
a. Accurate and regular crop estimates within the region to plan in advance and avoid panic that leads to ad hoc policy interventions like exports bans.
b. Updated commodity balance sheets to analyse and anticipate the impact of a shift in production of staple food on stock levels, trade and consumption.
c. Continuous maintenance and upgrading of an infrastructure to ensure the efficient handling of grain trade (imports and exports).
d. Identify potential sources for staple food imports in time and ensure all protocols for importation are in place.
 
The ReNAPRI partial equilibrium model has proven itself as an effective early warning tool to project the impact of exogenous shocks like an El Nino event on regional maize markets.

 

 

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