This is the final version of the 1996 Fireblight prediction using the MaryBlyt model for the Peach Ridge Weather Station in Sparta, Michigan.
Apple & Pear Fireblight Predictions
Philip Schwallier & Amy Brown
1996 Peach Ridge Data Final Version June 26, 1996
Month
Day
Bloom Stage
Ave
Temp.
Precip.
Pear
EIP
Crab
EIP
Early
EIP
Mid
EIP
Late
EIP
Risk
Comments
May
18
1st King Early Varieties
78
158
High
19
1st King Mid Varieties
77
303
145
High
20
66
.52
327
170
Infection A
Early and Mid Varieties.
21
1st King Late Varieties
61
1.90
194
194
24
Infection B
Early and Mid Varieties.
22
58
61
61
36
Moderate
23
56
.08
61
20
12
Moderate
24
58
36
6
6
Low
25
53
.16
36
6
6
Moderate
26
57
.01
12
2
2
Moderate
27
56
0
0
0
Low
28
56
0
0
0
Low
29
55
0
0
0
Low
30
54
12
12
12
Low
31
57
24
24
24
Low
June
1
65
.01
73
73
73
High
2
65
.56
109
109
109
Infection C
All Varieties with Bloom.
3
51
.37
97
97
97
High
4
52
.02
85
28
28
Moderate
5
56
.01
36
12
12
High
6
Petal Fall Early Varieties
61
.26
24
24
Moderate
7
Petal Fall Mid Varieties
60
.14
2
Moderate
8
58
.20
0
Moderate
9
Petal Fall Late Varieties
59
.01
10
68
.12
Infection A Symptoms Predicted.
11
67
.11
Infection B Symptoms Predicted.
12
68
.07
13
71
14
71
Infection C Symptoms Predicted.
15
71