This is the final version of the 1997 Fireblight prediction using the MaryBlyt model for the Peach Ridge Weather Station in Sparta, Michigan.

Apple & Pear Fireblight Predictions

Philip Schwallier & Amy Brown

1997 Peach Ridge Data, June 18, 1997

Month	Day	Bloom Stage	Ave Temp.	Precip.	Pear EIP	Crab EIP	Early EIP	Mid EIP	Late EIP	Risk	Comments
May	13	1st Bloom, Pears	40		0					Low
	14		45	.14	0					Mod
	15		43	.09	0					Mod
	16		42	.08	0					Mod
	17	Pears, 10% Bloom	47		0					Low
	18	1st Bloom, Crab & Ida	53	.31	0	0	0			Mod	Strikes should show on 6-7
	19		49	.01	0	0	0			Mod
	20		48		0	0	0			Low
	21		48		0	0	0			Low
	22	1st Bloom, Mid	49		0	0	0	0		Low
	23		55		0	0	0	0		Low
	24	1st Bloom, Late Full Bloom, Early	65		48	48	48	48	48	Moderate
	25		52		32	32	32	32	32	Low
	26		49		16	16	16	16	16	Low
	27	Full Bloom, Mid	59		16	16	16	16	16	Low
	28		57		28	28	28	28	28	Low
	29	Full Bloom, Late Petal Fall, Pears	56	.19 Drizzle	19	19	19	19	19	Moderate	Strikes should show on 6-10
	30	Petal Fall, Early	59	.06 Humid	10	10	10	10	10	Moderate
	31	End Bloom, Pears Petal Fall, Mid	62	Light Dew Light Fog	22	22	22	22	22	Low
June	1		60		34	34	34	34	34	Moderate
	2	Petal Fall, Late	64		70	70	70	70	70	Moderate
	3		65		107	107	107	107	107	High
	4	End Bloom, Ida	62		143	143	143	143	143	High
	5		62				179	179	179	High
	6	End Bloom, Paulared	65	.07			216	216	216	Infection A.
	7	End Bloom,  Fuji, Braeburn	65					252	252	High	Strikes from 5-18.
	8		62					361	361	High
	9	End Bloom,  Jons, Jonagold,  Golden Del, Rome, Gala	67					446	446	High
	10		70								Strikes from 5-29.
	11		69
	12		67
	13		67
	14		60
	15		62							Infection A Strikes.
	16		65	.78							Strikes found in Idared,  maybe old.
	17		62