This is the update version of the 1998 Fireblight prediction using the MaryBlyt model for the Peach Ridge Weather Station in Sparta, Michigan.

Apple & Pear Fireblight Predictions

Philip Schwallier & Amy Brown

1998 Peach Ridge Data, Final Version, May 25, 1998

Month	Day	Bloom Stage	Ave  Temp.	Precip.	Pear EIP	Pear Risk	Crab EIP	Crab Risk	Early EIP	Early   Risk	Mid EIP	Mid Risk	Late  EIP	Late Risk	Comments
April	24	1st Bloom, Pears	57	0	12	Low
	25	1st Bloom, Crabs	52	.01	8	Moderate	0	Moderate	0	Moderate
	26	1st Bloom, Ida	44	.61	0	Low	0	Moderate	0	Moderate
	27	20% Bloom, Pears	44		0	Low	0	Low	0	Low
	28	1st Bloom,  Gingergold	49		0	Low	0	Low	0	Low
	29	1st Bloom,  Paulared	53	.04	0	Moderate	0	Moderate	0	Moderate
	30		58	.5	0	Moderate	0	Moderate	0	Moderate
May	1	Full Bloom,  Pears, Crabs 1st Bloom, Jons	62	.1	12	High	12	High	12	High	12	High			Hail trauma blight  to show up on 5-15
	2	King Bloom, Idas, Gingergold, Paulared, 1st Bloom, Rome Fuji, Braeburn	56	.01	8	Moderate	8	Moderate	8	Moderate	8	Low	0	Moderate
	3	Full Bloom, Ida, Paulared, Gingergold 1st Bloom, Golden, Jonagold, Gala	59	.33	8	Moderate	8	Moderate	8	Moderate	8	Low	0	Moderatre
	4	King Bloom, Jon, Rome Full Bloom, Fuji, Braeburn	61	0	44	High	44	High	44	High	44	High	36	High
	5	King Bloom, Golden, Gala, Jonagold	59	.01	57	Low	57	Low	57	Low	57	Low	48	Low
	6	Petal Fall, Pears,  Early Crabs Full Bloom, Jon, Rome,  Jonagold, Gala, Golden	66	.09	85	High	85	High	85	High	85	High	85	High	Hail truma blight  to show up on 5-17
	7	Petal Fall, Ida, Gingergold	66	0	121	High	121	High	121	High	121	High	121	High
	8	Petal Fall, Paulared	66	0	121	High	121	High	121	High	121	High	1121	High
	9	Petal Fall, Jon, Fuji, Braeburn	66	0	133	High	133	High	133	High	133	High	133	High
	10	Bloom End, Pears,  Early Crabs	60	0					133	High	133	High	133	High
	11		60	0					109	High	109	High	109	High
	12	Bloom End, Ida Petal Fall, Gala, Golden, Rome	63	Fog, Dew					109	Infection	109	Infection	109	Infection	Strikes to  show on 5-20.
	13	Bloom End,  Gingergold, Paulared	61	.63					109	Infection	109	Infection	109	Infection	Strikes to show on 5-21.
	14	Bloom End, Fuji,  Braeburn,Golden	64	0							145	Infection	145	Infection	Strikes to show on 5-23.
	15	Bloom End, Jons,  Jonagold, Gala,	75	0							255	High	255	High
	16	Bloom End, Rome	68	0									242	High
	17		66	0
	18		73	0											PATROL ORCHARDS  WEEKLY.
	19		71	0
	20		68	0											May 12 strikes  should be showing.
	21		57	0											May 13 strikes  should be showing.
	22		55	0
	23		56	0											May 14 strikes  should be showing.
	24		58	.02											1st strikes found on Jons, light numbers.
	25		61	.02