This is the update version of the 1999 Fireblight prediction using the MaryBlyt model for the Peach Ridge Weather Station in Sparta, Michigan.

Apple & Pear Fireblight Predictions

Philip Schwallier & Amy Brown

1999 Peach Ridge Data, Update Version, May 25, 1999

Month	Day	Bloom Stage	Ave  Temp.	Precip.	Pear EIP	Pear Risk	Crab  & Early Season  EIP	Crab  & Early Season  Risk	Mid  Season EIP	Mid  Season Risk	Late  Season EIP	Late  Season Risk	Comments
April	30	1st Bloom, Pears	55	0	12	Low
May	1	1st Bloom, Crabs, Ida	56	0	48	Low	36	Low
	2	1st Bloom, Paulared,  Braeburn	61	0	73	Mod	61	Mod
	3	Full Bloom, Pears 1st Bloom, Gingergold,  Jonagold, Jon, Fuji King Bloom, Ida	64	0	109	High	98	Mod	37	Mod
	4	1st Bloom, Gala, Honeycrisp King Bloom, Paula, Braeburn Full Bloom, Ida	67	0	158	High	146	High	85	Mod
	5	1st Bloom, Goldens King Bloom, Gingergold,  Jonagold, Jon, Fuji Full Bloom, Paula, Braeburn	68	.04	242	Infection	230	Infection	169	Infection	84	High	1st symptoms Predicted, 5-22
	6	1st Bloom, Rome Full Bloom, Gingergold,  Jonagold, Jon, Fuji King Bloom Gala, Honeycrisp	61	.01	255	Infection	243	Infection	182	Infection	97	High	1st symptoms Predicted, 5-22
	7	King Bloom, Goldens, Rome Full Bloom Gala, Honeycrisp	58	.01	170	High	162	High	121	High	65	Mod
	8	Petal Fall, Pears	53	.09	85	Mod	81	Mod	60	Mod	33	Mod
	9	Full Bloom, Goldens, Romes	53	0	85	Low	81	Low	60	Low	33	Low
	10	Petal Fall, Ida, Paulas	55	0	97	Low	93	Low	72	Low	47	Low
	11	Petal Fall, Braeburn, Gingergold	59	0	121	High	117	High	96	Mod	71	Mod
	12	Bloom Done, Pears	51	1.22	81	High	78	Mod	64	Mod	47	Mod
	13	Petal Fall, Jons, Jonagold, Fuji	54	.01			39	Mod	32	Mod	24	Mod
	14	Bloom Done, Ida Petal Fall, Gala, Honeycrisp	55	0			52	Low	45	Low	37	Low
	15	Bloom Done, Paulas  Petal Fall, Gala, Honey	64	0			76	Low	70	Mod	61	Mod
	16	Petal Fall, Goldens	68	1.15					130	Infection	121	Infection	1st symptoms Predicted, 5-31
	17	Petal Fall, Rome Bloom End, Gingergold, Braeburn, Jons, Jonagold, Fuji	71	1.04					215	Infection	206	Infection	1st symptoms Predicted, 5-31
	18		59	.13							206	High
	19	Bloom Done, Goldens	57	.01							206	High
	20		62	0							243	High	.
	21	Bloom Done, Rome	66	0							279	High
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