INTRODUCTION TO AGRICLUTURE STATISTICS
CRllO
The following course content has been agreed upon by the
relevant departments as the introductory course to be taught in the second
semester of the First Year Agriculture in all departments.
COURSE ORGANISATION
Lectures: 39 x 1hr
Practicals: 13 x 3hr
Grading:
Continuous assessment:
40%
Assignments
Practicals
Quizzes
Final Examination:
60%
One open book 2 hour written paper.
COURSE TEXT BOOKS:
Until such times when textbooks are available at affordable
prices, the text allowed in the examination room will be: “Introduction
to Biometry” by Sr. Jane Canhao. Other texts are
available and students may buy them for reference if
they so wish, but should not be brought into the examination room.
COURSE CONTENT:
1. Introduction
-
The objectives of statistics
-
Delinitions: Populations, samples, continuous and discrete
variables, continuous and discrete data, etc.
-
The objectives of simple random sampling and the use
of random number tables.
2. Data Description
-
Graphical Methods: Describing shapes of population distributions
with histograms, bar graphs, stem and leaf plots, and trends
with scatter plots; Identifying outlying observations using the plots
-
Numerical Methods: Estimation of the center and the dispersion
of population distributions using the measures of central tendency and
dispersion, respectively
-
Graphical and Numerical Methods of describing data using
MINITAB.
3. Probability and its distribution
-
Definitions: Classical interpretation, relative frequency
concept, statistical experiment, discrete and continuous sample spaces,
events, probabilities of simple events.
-
Basic relations of events. Complement of an event, mutually
exclusive events, union of events, intersection of events.
-
Probability laws: Calculation of probabilities of compound
events
-
Random variables General definitions of discrete and continuous
random and definitions at: sample spaces.
-
Probability distributions for discrete random variable:
-
General definition of a discrete sample space; Calculation
of probabilities, Sampling with or without replacement, Special discrete
distributions (Binomial, Poisson)
-
Probability distribution for continuous random variables:
-
General definition of a continuous sample space; Probabilities
as areas under the probability density function. The normal distribution
(empirical rule, graphical methods of checking normality, the z-score transformation,
use of the z -- tables)
4. Inference About A Population Mean
-
Sampling distribution of the sample mean: Estimation of the
population mean (standard error of the sample mean), Small samples (z and
l distributions); Large samples (central limit theorem); Probability calculations
-
Interval Estimation at the Populalion Mean; z and t intervals;
Sample size required to obtain a specified precision
-
Hypothesis test for the population mean: Definition (or the
null and research hypotheses, test statistic (z, t), rejection regions
and decision rule, type 1 and type 2 errors
-
Inferences using MINITAB
5. Inferences About the Differences Between Two Population
Means:
5.1 Independent Samples:
-
Sampling distribution of the differences between sample means
-
Interval estimation at the difference between population
means; sample size required to ob-tain a specified precision
-
Hypotheses test for the difference between population means
-
Non parametric alternative; Wilcoxon Rank Sum Test
5.2 Paired Data:
-
Sampling distribution
-
Interval Estimation; Sample size required to obtain
a specified precision
-
Hypotheses testing
-
Non parametric alternative: Wilcoxon Signed-Rank Test
-
Inference using MINITAB
6. Inferences About Population Variances:
-
Sampling distribution of a sample variance: Point estimation;
Use of the Chi Square tables
-
Interval Estimation of a population Variance (Chi square
- interval)
-
Hypotheses Test for a population variance (Chi square
test)
-
Comparing two population variances: Use of the F tables;
F-test.
7. Categorical Data Analysis:
7.1 Inferences About a Binomial Proportion.
-
Sampling distribution of a sample proportion: Point estimation
(standard error of estimate); normal approximation to the binomial distribution
-
Interval estimation of a binomial proportion: Sample size
required to obtain specified precision
-
Hypotheses test for binomial proportions
7.2 Inferences About Two Binomial Proportions:
-
Sampling distribution of the difference between sample
proportions
-
Interval estimation of the difference between binomial
proportions
-
Hypotheses test about the difference between binomial
proportions
7.3 Chi-square Goodness Of Fit Test
-
The fit of the multinomial and Poisson distributions
7.4 Chi-square Test Of Independence
-
Test for independence of two variables
8. Simple Linear Regression
-
Simple linear regression model and its applications
-
Graphical and numerical methods of checking the adequacy
of the model: Scatter plots and correlations
-
Estimation of the model parameters: Least squares method
-
Checking the model error assumptions
-
Inference about the model parameters: Interval estimation
(t) and hypotheses testing (t, F tests)
-
Inferences concerning the mean response and the response
curve.
-
Transformations to achieve linearity, normality and constant
variance.
-
Use of MINITAB for parameter estimations.
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