Detroit-Warren-Dearborn Employment

2023 Economic Outlook

Updated on 01/01/2023
Detroit Employment Forecast

Detroit Employment Forecast

Detroit-Warren-Dearbor Employment (000s) 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
Total Nonfarm 2,032.57 2,043.01 1,844.43 1,927.47 2,029.00 2,123.91
  1.2% 0.5% -9.7% 4.5% 5.3% 4.7%
  Total Private 1,844.97 1,853.11 1,663.52 1,747.98 1,845.05 1,939.84
  1.2% 0.4% -10.2% 5.1% 5.6% 5.1%
  Goods Producing 333.56 333.51 296.51 318.02 340.81 357.53
  2.4% 0.0% -11.1% 7.3% 7.2% 4.9%
  Service-Providing 1,699.00 1,709.51 1,547.79 1,609.47 1,688.23 1,766.39
  1.0% 0.6% -9.5% 4.0% 4.9% 4.6%
    Mining Logging and Construction 74.27 76.13 72.72 77.96 82.06 84.46
  3.0% 2.5% -4.5% 7.2% 5.3% 2.9%
    Manufacturing 259.38 257.44 223.79 239.97 258.59 273.06
  2.3% -0.7% -13.1% 7.2% 7.8% 5.6%
      Durable Goods 213.32 211.52 182.82 197.96 214.05 225.82
  2.5% -0.8% -13.6% 8.3% 8.1% 5.5%
        Transportation Equipment Manufacturing 113.21 113.30 97.08 109.50 120.39 128.36
  3.5% 0.1% -14.3% 12.8% 9.9% 6.6%
          Motor Vehicle Manufacturing 29.86 28.79 25.10 31.24 37.08 38.73
  -1.9% -3.6% -12.8% 24.4% 18.7% 4.5%
          Other Transportation Equip. Mfg 83.33 84.49 71.94 78.25 83.52 89.63
  5.5% 1.4% -14.8% 8.8% 6.7% 7.3%
        Other Durable Goods 100.11 98.24 85.69 88.43 93.72 97.45
  1.4% -1.9% -12.8% 3.2% 6.0% 4.0%
      Non-Durable Goods 46.06 45.92 40.97 42.01 44.55 47.25
  1.4% -0.3% -10.8% 2.5% 6.1% 6.0%
    Trade Transportation and Utilities 374.94 380.16 352.37 368.71 387.41 406.07
  1.5% 1.4% -7.3% 4.6% 5.1% 4.8%
      Wholesale Trade 86.42 85.43 79.90 80.45 82.48 84.46
  0.9% -1.1% -6.5% 0.7% 2.5% 2.4%
      Retail Trade 211.64 210.42 190.81 199.19 205.00 214.03
  -0.5% -0.6% -9.3% 4.4% 2.9% 4.4%
        Food and Beverage Stores 37.92 37.98 36.45 36.41 36.09 36.18
  -1.8% 0.2% -4.0% -0.1% -0.9% 0.3%
        Health and Personal Care Stores 18.29 18.64 17.41 19.30 20.38 21.42
  1.8% 1.9% -6.6% 10.8% 5.6% 5.1%
        Clothing and Clothing Accessories Stores 17.17 16.38 11.37 12.52 13.60 16.55
  -3.9% -4.6% -30.6% 10.2% 8.6% 21.8%
        General Merchandise Stores 44.64 43.62 40.71 42.48 44.79 45.61
  -1.8% -2.3% -6.7% 4.3% 5.4% 1.8%
        Other Retail 93.60 93.81 84.84 88.52 90.14 94.26
  0.8% 0.2% -9.6% 4.3% 1.8% 4.6%
      Transportation and Utilities 76.95 84.31 81.62 88.98 99.99 107.58
  8.1% 9.6% -3.2% 9.0% 12.4% 7.6%
    Information 28.73 28.29 25.83 26.88 28.16 29.30
  -1.5% -1.5% -8.7% 4.1% 4.7% 4.1%
      Telecommunications 9.68 8.96 8.26 8.10 8.01 7.94
  -5.7% -7.4% -7.8% -1.9% -1.1% -0.9%
      Other Information 19.05 19.33 17.57 18.78 20.15 21.37
  0.8% 1.4% -9.1% 6.9% 7.3% 6.1%
    Financial Activities 117.99 121.63 122.39 128.36 131.00 135.10
  0.8% 3.1% 0.6% 4.9% 2.1% 3.1%
      Finance and Insurance 86.37 89.01 92.60 97.54 97.98 100.34
  1.2% 3.1% 4.0% 5.3% 0.5% 2.4%
      Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 31.62 32.62 29.79 30.81 33.02 34.76
  -0.2% 3.2% -8.7% 3.4% 7.2% 5.3%
    Professional and Business Services 398.13 393.57 364.74 383.28 401.55 419.83
  1.2% -1.1% -7.3% 5.1% 4.8% 4.6%
      Professional Scientific and Technical Services 207.62 205.45 195.85 203.21 214.40 222.06
  1.2% -1.0% -4.7% 3.8% 5.5% 3.6%
      Management of Companies and Enterprises 49.02 50.25 50.78 52.23 54.17 56.14
  4.1% 2.5% 1.1% 2.9% 3.7% 3.6%
      Administrative and Support and Waste Management and Remediation Services 141.48 137.85 118.10 127.86 133.04 141.63
  0.1% -2.6% -14.3% 8.3% 4.1% 6.5%
    Education and Health Services 316.65 319.49 293.01 296.91 302.25 311.30
  1.1% 0.9% -8.3% 1.3% 1.8% 3.0%
      Education Services 29.84 29.84 26.23 28.00 32.85 35.97
  2.4% 0.0% -12.1% 6.7% 17.4% 9.5%
      Health Care and Social Assistance 286.81 289.65 266.76 268.91 269.51 275.33
  0.9% 1.0% -7.9% 0.8% 0.2% 2.2%
        Hospitals 100.17 100.97 95.56 94.48 94.02 95.15
  1.6% 0.8% -5.4% -1.1% -0.5% 1.2%
        Nursing and Residential Care Facilities 47.76 48.34 43.42 39.72 39.15 39.77
  0.2% 1.2% -10.2% -8.5% -1.4% 1.6%
        Other Health Services 101.32 102.64 94.57 100.74 101.44 104.23
  0.3% 1.3% -7.9% 6.5% 0.7% 2.7%
        Social Assistance 37.56 37.70 33.19 33.97 34.88 36.18
  1.7% 0.4% -12.0% 2.3% 2.7% 3.7%
    Leisure and Hospitality 200.00 201.09 144.96 157.27 181.15 205.16
  0.5% 0.5% -27.9% 8.5% 15.2% 13.3%
      Arts Entertainment and Recreation 26.27 26.36 17.30 19.65 21.80 24.03
  0.5% 0.4% -34.4% 13.6% 11.0% 10.2%
      Accommodation and Food Services 173.73 174.74 127.73 137.58 159.29 181.13
  0.5% 0.6% -26.9% 7.7% 15.8% 13.7%
        Accommodation Services 19.31 19.74 11.70 12.80 15.48 18.95
  3.2% 2.2% -40.7% 9.3% 21.0% 22.4%
        Food Services and Drinking Places 154.42 155.00 116.01 124.78 143.81 162.19
  0.2% 0.4% -25.2% 7.6% 15.2% 12.8%
    Other Services 75.11 75.59 64.06 68.29 72.66 75.55
  -0.1% 0.6% -15.2% 6.6% 6.4% 4.0%
    Government 187.56 189.88 180.81 179.47 183.78 184.07
  1.1% 1.2% -4.8% -0.7% 2.4% 0.2%
      Federal Government 28.38 28.34 28.89 28.66 29.24 29.06
  -0.2% -0.1% 1.9% -0.8% 2.0% -0.6%
      State Government 25.62 25.95 23.40 22.80 23.09 22.79
  0.3% 1.3% -9.8% -2.6% 1.3% -1.3%
      Local Government 133.57 135.58 128.49 128.02 131.55 132.22
  1.6% 1.5% -5.2% -0.4% 2.8% 0.5%
Employment Survey Statistics            
labor force 2,164,895 2,187,643 2,112,920 2,114,044 2,131,720 2,191,530
employment 2,071,189 2,094,811 1,873,711 1,982,539 2,050,717 2,128,105
unemployment 93,706 92,832 239,209 131,505 81,003 63,425
unemployment rate 4.3 4.2 11.4 6.2 3.8 2.9
Source: Center for Economic Analysis, Michigan State University