Modeling a pastoral social-ecological system and its application to climate risk assessment of traditional livelihoods
May 1, 2024 - Takashina, Nao; Kakinuma, Kaoru
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EmailJournal or Book Title: SUSTAINABILITY SCIENCE
DOI:10.1007/s11625-024-01498-2
Abstract: Climate extremes affect ecosystems and people's livelihoods, especially those that depend on them. Increasing extreme events such as droughts due to climate change urgently require the development of a framework to assess risks to livelihoods. Using pastoral livelihoods in Mongolia as an example, we develop a mathematical model to assess climate risks to the pastoral socio-ecological system. The study highlights the importance of a support system that ensures the flexibility of herders' migration in highly variable climates. Risk assessment is essential to mitigate and adapt to climate change and to ensure the sustainability of pastoral livelihoods in the future.
Type of Publication: Article