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The Potential Economic Impact of Guinea-Race Sorghum Hybrids in Mali: A Comparison of Research and Development Paradigms

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October 1, 2016 - Author: Alpha Kergna, , Amidou Assima, Abdoulaye Diallo, Eva Weltzien, and Fred Rattunde

Alpha Kergna, Melinda Smale, Amidou Assima, Abdoulaye Diallo, Eva Weltzien, and Fred Rattunde. 2016. The Potential Economic Impact of Guinea-Race Sorghum Hybrids in Mali: A Comparison of Research and Development Paradigms. Feed the Future Innovation Lab for Food Security Policy Research Paper 23 - EN. East Lansing: Michigan State University

See French Version:
Alpha Kergna, Melinda Smale, Amidou Assima, Abdoulaye Diallo, Eva Weltzien et Fred Rattunde. 2016. L’impact économique potentiel des variétés hybrides de race guinéenne au Mali: Une comparaison des paradigmes de recherche et développement. Feed the Future Innovation Lab for Food Security Policy Research Paper 23 - FR. East Lansing: Michigan State University

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
In this study, we assess the potential economic impact of the first, Guinea-race sorghum hybrids produced and diffused using the new research and development paradigm (PPB-F), comparing it to what would have been achieved through the earlier approach (PPB-S). To incorporate risk into our analysis, we augment the economic surplus model by applying Monte Carlo sampling to simulate distributions of model parameters. Thus, rather than provide a single estimate of the total economic surplus, net present value, and internal rate of return, the analysis generates a range of estimated values, their minima, maxima, means and modes. We then explore which factors most influence variation in economic returns; these lend insights for policy.

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Tags: fsg research paper, fsp research paper, input, input use and market development, mali, sorghum


Related Topic Areas

Mali


Authors

Melinda Smale

Melinda Smale
703-231-8492
msmale@msu.edu


For more information visit:

Food Security Group
Feed the Future Innovation Lab for Food Security Policy

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